Episode 8 - "Loser!"

To Exile: Lisi

Losing Tribe: Ravu

Voted Out: Lisi

Votes:Alex, Dre, Edguardo & Mookie voted Lisi
Lisi voted Lisi

Who's Left:
Moto: Boo, Cassandra, Earl, Michelle, Stacey & Yau-man
Ravu: Alex, Dre, Edguardo & Mookie

HC' Take:

When Alex and Eguardo look back upon how they played, while sipping cocktails at Loser Lodge, they will likely both agree that this was the moment when they lost their game. Truth is, I think they were doomed when they first hitched up with the unstable crew they decided to make an alliance with. If I were them, right after the swap I would have been very tempted to have teamed up with Dre with the plan of disposing of Lisi down the road.

But the thing is, they need her now. Dre knows exactly where he stands with Alex and Edguardo now. At the merge, Cassandra will stick with Earl and company and they've got to know that the chance of Dre hitching his cart to her's, taking Mookie with him, is very high. If she needed to be dragged kicking and screaming into the merge, then they needed to do that. She may be unstable but their pool of support is very shallow. They don't have the option of being picky.

So was voting out Lisi a mistake for Alex and Ed? Absolutely, though I'm not too impressed with their alternative of targeting former team mate Dre as opposed to Mookie. In fact, I'm coming to the realization that their isn't going to be much in the way of brilliant game play from any of these contestants. Earl and Yau-man don't even seem to want to consider the possibility of throwing challenges despite Alex and Edguardo likely booting another ex-Ravu. If the Moto five (Alex-Edguardo-Lisi-Boo-Stacey) were as tight as they should be, they should be able to run this game. But they're not, leaving Earl and Yau-man the likely duo to end up on the top of the totem, not because of their great play, but because of their opposition's inability to get their act together.

It is funny to think that the old Moto's are currently up 6-4 (even with the Lisi boot) and they are likely to end up on the losing end of a merge. One word for future Survivor contestants: team!

Anyway, changing tack. We're now down to ten players which is the traditional time for a merge. Whether their is a merge or not, I figure now is a good time for this question.

1. Based upon what you've seen so far, who are the three players most likely to win this game?

HC